CHRIS
TMDX
60/100
Day 55
consumer-health
STALE EXIT: CRITICAL CAT OVERDUE
Entry $77.55
→
Now $88.35
+14.2%
Bear $62.04 30%
Base $97.30 50%
Bull $148.00 20%
Peer: DXCM · 12wk rel: +4.0%
TransMedics is a cheap medtech/logistics rebound setup where OCS volume and logistics utilization could surprise, but execution and short interest keep risk high.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for the post-earnings transcript. If OCS volume, logistics utilization, and gross margin beat consensus and price holds above the $72.85 50d MA, review within 48 hours. Do not chase above the $108.80 200d MA.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-04 earnings
Added 2026-06-25 · 2026-08-04 earnings
STEVE
RDW
60/100
Day 33
physical-experiences
EXIT: HIGH CAT OVERDUE
Entry $8.39
→
Now $12.94
+61.9%
Bear $7.71 30%
Base $14.56 50%
Bull $25.90 20%
Peer: RKLB · 12wk rel: +18.5%
Redwire is a beaten-down space systems recovery setup where fresh Huntsville expansion evidence supports the contract/backlog conversion thesis while price remains near trigger support.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only if price holds the $7.71-$8.30 support zone without thesis damage, or reclaims/holds the ~$10.03 200d MA on fresh backlog evidence. Do not chase near/above $13.27-$14.15.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-05 earnings
Added 2026-07-17 · 2026-08-05 earnings
CHRIS
IREN
60/100
Day 2
tech-platform
STALE EXIT: HIGH
Entry $44.06
→
Now $42.00
+0.0%
Bear $29.31 30%
Base $81.73 50%
Bull $100.00 20%
Peer: CIFR · 12wk rel: -2.7%
IREN is a high-volatility AI infrastructure monitor where AI cloud/data-center demand could re-rate a bitcoin-miner-style asset toward AI infrastructure if GPU utilization and contracted demand become visible.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for Aug. 27 earnings. Enter only if AI cloud revenue, GPU utilization, contracted demand, and forward guidance beat the revenue path; revisit within 1-2 sessions. Do not chase above $50 without that proof.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-27 earnings
Added 2026-08-17 · 2026-08-27 earnings
CHRIS
HOOD
58/100
Day 51
gen-z-behavior
STALE EXIT: CRITICAL
Entry $100.20
→
Now $95.56
-4.6%
Bear $63.51 35%
Base $119.82 45%
Bull $124.35 20%
Peer: COIN · 12wk rel: +49.5%
Robinhood retail trading, crypto, active-trader behavior, and prediction-market adjacency strengthened by record June activity.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for company-specific event-contract/prediction-market traction or July operating metrics. If Robinhood discloses sustained trading/customer growth without valuation chasing above $102.58 200d MA, review within 48 hours; do not chase above $124.35 resistance.
Catalyst by: Q3 2026 earnings
Added 2026-06-29 · Q3 2026 earnings / operating metrics
CHRIS
BE
58/100
Day 8
tech-platform
STALE EXIT: CRITICAL
Entry $219.34
→
Now $229.94
+4.8%
Bear $116.50 35%
Base $273.51 45%
Bull $351.28 20%
Peer: PLUG · 12wk rel: +14.6%
Bloom Energy is an AI/data-center onsite-power beneficiary, but the thesis is now mainstream and explicitly management-discussed, so this is a downgrade/review watchlist item rather than a fresh entry.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only if price pulls back to and holds near the $181.53 200d MA on fresh non-consensus contract/backlog evidence. Do not chase above the $253.52 50d MA or $273.51 analyst-target zone without a new underappreciated catalyst.
Catalyst by: Q3 2026 earnings
Added 2026-08-11 · Q3 2026 earnings / new AI power contract evidence
CHRIS
SNDK
57/100
Day 9
tech-platform
EXIT: CRITICAL
Entry $1205.00
→
Now $1641.11
+36.2%
Bear $517.00 30%
Base $2107.00 50%
Bull $2354.00 20%
Peer: WDC · 12wk rel: +5.9%
AI memory/storage cycle could still support SanDisk if NAND/HBM pricing and AI storage demand stay strong, but the share price is not accessible for Todd-sized direct entries and exit risk is critical.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for SNDK/company or WDC/STX peer event confirmation. If NAND/HBM pricing, AI storage demand, and order visibility beat expectations, review within 48 hours only while price remains below the $1,688 50d MA; do not chase direct shares at current accessibility levels.
Catalyst by: Q3 2026 earnings
Added 2026-08-10 · Next company or peer memory/storage demand update
STEVE
GLW
56/100
Day 56
tech-platform
STALE PEER ↓ EXIT: CRITICAL CAT OVERDUE
Entry $194.19
→
Now $165.99
-14.5%
Bear $92.57 35%
Base $214.07 45%
Bull $255.69 20%
Peer: TEL · 12wk rel: -21.1%
Corning AI/data-center optical fiber, cable, glass, and connectivity monitor; today only flagged for best entry due pullback under Todd's $200 preference.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only if GLW holds below $200 near the $189-$195 watch zone after the +5.69% pre-market gap cools. Do not chase above $200; wait for Jul 28 earnings confirmation if it runs.
Catalyst by: 2026-07-28 earnings
Added 2026-06-24 · 2026-07-28 earnings
BOTH
AMZN
55/100
Day 56
ai-consumer
STALE PEER ↓ EXIT: CRITICAL CAT OVERDUE
Entry $233.60
→
Now $262.65
+12.4%
Bear $207.60 25%
Base $312.99 55.00000000000001%
Bull $350.00 20%
Peer: MSFT · 12wk rel: -19.7%
Amazon combines AWS/AI infrastructure optionality, Trainium/external AI demand, ads, and consumer scale at a still-reasonable relative valuation.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only on a pullback/hold near the $232.83 200d MA, preferably $220-$233 after the Jun 25 macro data clears. Do not chase above the $257.00 50d MA.
Catalyst by: 2026-07-30 earnings
Added 2026-06-24 · 2026-07-30 earnings
STEVE
GDRX
55/100
Day 14
consumer-health
STALE CAT OVERDUE
Entry $3.34
→
Now $3.73
+11.7%
Bear $1.87 35%
Base $3.21 45%
Bull $4.50 20%
Peer: HIMS · 12wk rel: +22.2%
GoodRx is a cheap consumer-health monitor where affordability pressure and prescription shopping could revive usage, but the current thesis is stale and needs earnings validation.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for Aug. 5 earnings. If monthly active consumers or prescription transaction growth stabilizes/turns positive and management shows manufacturer-solutions or subscription retention strength, review within 48 hours. Do not chase if the move is only multiple expansion without usage proof.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-05 earnings
Added 2026-08-05 · 2026-08-05 earnings
STEVE
TAC
54/100
Day 7
tech-platform
STALE BEST ENTRY NOW
Entry $12.48
→
Now $12.47
+2.5%
Bear $11.78 30%
Base $13.28 50%
Bull $14.52 20%
Peer: AQN · 12wk rel: -1.8%
TransAlta is a data-center power monitor where contracted Alberta load growth could be underappreciated, but evidence is stale and the analyst target implies limited upside.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only if price pulls back to and holds the $11.78 support area, or reclaims the $13.41-$13.47 50d/200d MA zone on fresh contracted data-center load or power-demand evidence. Do not chase above $14.52 resistance.
Catalyst by: Q3 2026 earnings
Added 2026-08-12 · Q3 2026 data-center/power demand evidence
CHRIS
SG
52/100
Day 13
food-beverage
STALE PEER ↓ CAT OVERDUE
Entry $6.10
→
Now $6.28
+3.0%
Bear $4.70 30%
Base $7.83 50%
Bull $10.21 20%
Peer: CAVA · 12wk rel: -28.3%
Sweetgreen wraps are a consumer-trend/social-arb setup where menu innovation could drive traffic before analysts fully trust the turn.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for SG Aug. 6 AMC earnings/call. If same-store sales/traffic or wrap attachment beats weak expectations and management confirms sustained wrap/menu innovation, review within 48 hours. Do not chase a spike without usage proof; price discipline is support $4.70, 200d $6.83, 50d $7.95.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-06 earnings
Added 2026-08-06 · 2026-08-06 earnings
STEVE
DKNG
49/100
Day 56
gen-z-behavior
STALE EXIT: CRITICAL CAT OVERDUE
Entry $25.09
→
Now $26.14
+4.2%
Bear $20.46 35%
Base $34.78 45%
Bull $40.00 20%
Peer: FLUT · 12wk rel: -0.1%
DraftKings remains a low-price sportsbook/online-gaming monitor with prediction-market optionality, but Meta/Kalshi/Polymarket create direct attention and event-betting substitution risk.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only if price holds the $24.91 50d MA after the Meta prediction-market risk is digested, or pulls toward $20.46 support without thesis damage. Do not chase above the $29.73 200d MA.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-05 earnings
Added 2026-06-24 · 2026-08-05 earnings
CHRIS
BAH
49/100
Day 55
tech-platform
STALE PEER ↓ EXIT: CRITICAL CAT OVERDUE
Entry $62.66
→
Now $77.46
+23.6%
Bear $63.45 35%
Base $85.67 45%
Bull $102.23 20%
Peer: LDOS · 12wk rel: -15.7%
Booz Allen is a discounted government AI/services contractor where Pentagon, NASA, and intelligence-agency modernization demand may be underpriced after stock-specific weakness.
Entry: FORMAT A: Enter only if price holds the $62.59 support zone after the Jun 25 PCE/GDP/durable-goods cluster and reclaims $64-$65 without federal AI/services thesis damage. Do not chase above the $77.10 50d MA until independent source depth improves.
Catalyst by: 2026-07-24 earnings
Added 2026-06-25 · 2026-07-24 earnings
STEVE
ULTA
49/100
Day 36
social-commerce
PEER ↓ EXIT: HIGH CAT OVERDUE
Entry $469.00
→
Now $510.75
+8.9%
Bear $450.75 30%
Base $623.42 50%
Bull $706.82 20%
Peer: ELF · 12wk rel: -73.7%
TikTok Shop driving incremental prestige/fragrance discovery benefiting Ulta; PE 17.6x and PS 1.59x cheap for specialty retail despite Sephora competition fear overhang; back-to-school timing positive (3-4 weeks out). Sephora substitution risk overpriced at current valuation.
Entry: FORMAT A: Direct shares only on a pullback to the $450-$486 support/50d area after earnings confirmation. Preferred route would be defined-risk options if Todd wants exposure. Do not chase above $500 pre-earnings.
Catalyst by: 2026-08-15 earnings (est.)
Added 2026-07-14 · 2026-08-15 earnings (est.)
STEVE
PTRN
47/100
Day 9
social-commerce
STALE PEER ↓
Entry $22.05
→
Now $21.44
-2.8%
Bear $8.92 35%
Base $28.12 45%
Bull $29.80 20%
Peer: ETSY · 12wk rel: -10.4%
Social-commerce marketplace infrastructure candidate tied to brands needing TikTok Shop, Walmart, Coupang, and partner-channel execution; watch-only because evidence is stale and ETSY has outperformed.
Entry: FORMAT B: Wait for fresh marketplace GMV, social-commerce partner growth, or TikTok Shop/Walmart channel proof. If fresh evidence appears and price holds near the $16.17 200d MA or reclaims the $23.49 50d MA without peer deterioration, review within 48 hours; do not chase above $29.80 resistance.
Catalyst by: Q3 2026 earnings
Added 2026-08-10 · Q3 2026 marketplace/channel-growth evidence
STEVE
RDDT
35/100
Day 56
creator-economy
STALE EXIT: CRITICAL CAT OVERDUE
Entry $166.30
→
Now $178.09
+7.1%
Bear $121.84 35%
Base $216.35 45%
Bull $270.71 20%
Peer: SNAP · 12wk rel: +31.1%
Reddit public social-intent, community data, AI/data licensing, and ad monetization moat continues to compound while price remains below the 200d MA.
Entry: FORMAT B: Active watch only until a new catalyst is defined. Consider only if price holds $121.84 support or reclaims the $175-$180 MA zone with fresh ad/data evidence; do not chase above $203 resistance.
Catalyst by: 2026-07-30 earnings
Added 2026-06-24 · 2026-07-30 earnings
